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established a mathematical model to study the impact of travel time reliability on passengers’ routes selection based on the travel data they demonstrated that passengers prefer paying more attention to the lowering of variability during trips compared to shortening the travel time. found in a further survey that when the change of travel time is beyond the endurance of passengers, they would rather select a longer but more reliable route. illustrated in a survey about route selection in Los Angeles that fifty-four percent of interviewees regard the reliability of travel time as the most or the second most important factor when they select their primary commute routes. The greatest advantage that bus lane brings to public transportation is to guarantee the reliability of bus trips among some bus stations. In this case, the reference value of travel time is relatively low. However, the reliability of bus trips has fallen sharply with the incensement of car ownership in recent years the uncertainty caused by the crowded mixed traffic environment may even make it more difficult for passengers to determine the actual arrival time. Generally speaking, when travelling by urban public transportation, especially commuting, the length of travel time is a prerequisite for passengers to select bus routes. Obviously, the travel condition of buses can be improved and the reliability of the public transport can also be guaranteed through the setup of bus lanes. The data have revealed that after the application of bus lanes, compared with the previous mixed traffic, the speed of buses has been greatly increased, parts of them even twice as before. For the lack of road resources and high costs of transport infrastructure, making use of the existing road sections to designate bus lanes has become one of the effective ways to implement public transportation priority. As a result, public transportation vehicles cannot run smoothly and the reliability of transit can hardly be guaranteed.
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In recent years, the number of motor vehicles owned increased sharply in many cities, which has a negative impact on public transportation. The research in this paper will be beneficial to the strategy of bus scheduling and also has guiding significance for the evaluation of existing bus lanes or further applications. The results show the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed approach that can obtain the impact of bus lanes on the stations. Finally, the validity of the method was verified according to the actual investigation data. Furthermore, this paper proposed an algorithm for detecting communities in the improved bus transfer network to mine the transfer relations between any bus routes, and then, on the basis of the improved bus station network, designed a referable bus travel time and put forward an impact model to calculate the absolute impact and relative impact of bus lanes. With the aim of mastering the scope and extent of the impact accurately, the article firstly modified the bus station network and the bus transfer network.
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Designation of bus lane means implementing the priority of urban bus system by monopolizing portion of the road resources, which has greater attraction for passengers and can impel the shift of bus passenger flow, thus impacting bus stations.